USD/JPY continues to trade within a well-defined 158.00–160.00 range as Japan's Finance Minister Katayama publicly flagged speculative activity in financial markets, raising the prospect of potential intervention. Speaking at the G7 summit, Katayama urged allied nations to present a united front against China's export controls on critical materials, adding a geopolitical dimension to market uncertainty. The minister emphasized the need for close monitoring of currency markets, language that Japanese officials have historically used as a precursor to direct yen-buying intervention. The pair has been oscillating within this two-yen range since mid-March through late April, with the 159.00 level acting as a pivot. Resistance sits firmly at 160.00, a psychologically significant level that previously triggered intervention in 2024, while support is anchored near 158.00. Traders should remain alert to any escalation in verbal or actual intervention signals from the Ministry of Finance and Bank of Japan, as a break of either boundary could trigger significant directional momentum.
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