NZD/USD rallied sharply by 0.8% (45 pips) to 0.5680, driven by a confluence of supportive factors for the kiwi dollar. New Zealand's trade balance improved to -$800M from -$1.2B previously, beating expectations as dairy export prices rose 3.2%. Additionally, Chinese PMI data came in at 50.8, above the 50.5 forecast, boosting commodity currencies given NZ's trade exposure to China. The RBNZ's hawkish stance contrast with recent Fed dovishness, widening yield differentials in NZD's favor. Technical analysis shows NZD/USD breaking above the 0.5650 resistance with conviction, now targeting 0.5720 (December high). The 14-day RSI at 63 suggests room for further gains before overbought conditions. Support has formed at 0.5640, with the 0.5600 psychological level providing stronger backing. Continued China recovery and stable dairy prices could propel the pair toward 0.5750.
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